CCT Season 2 Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Aim Possibleloss 1:2series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Aim Possible
Warlock
Aidar · 3 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Htrd · 2 games
Jakiro
Aidar · 2 games
Slarkoften banned
rubikon155 · 2 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
rubikon155 · 2 games
Phantom Assassinoften banned
rubikon155 · 1 game
Razor
rubikon155 · 1 game
Silencer
Htrd · 1 game
Nemiga Gaming
Jakiro
monodrama · 12 games
Tinyoften banned
bashka · 10 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Covisnine · 9 games
Sand Kingoften banned
спортик · 8 games
Muerta
Shishak · 7 games
Pangolieroften banned
Covisnine · 7 games
Shadow Shamanoften banned
monodrama · 7 games
Windranger
xsvampire · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
523 picks · 589 bans
Jakiro
484 picks · 437 bans
Ringmaster
468 picks · 235 bans
Terrorblade
369 picks · 756 bans
Ancient Apparition
337 picks · 773 bans
Storm Spirit
337 picks · 514 bans
Tusk
321 picks · 290 bans
Windranger
306 picks · 93 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% Aim Possible
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total72% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Aim Possible 28%Nemiga Gaming 72%
The model gave 72% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Aim Possible.
Game 2prediction correct
Aim Possible 28%Nemiga Gaming 72%
The model gave 72% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming.
Game 3prediction correct
Aim Possible 28%Nemiga Gaming 72%
The model gave 72% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 72%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3