Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
ALIS VENTORUSloss 0:2series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:2
11Monkeyzwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
ALIS VENTORUS
No games played over 6 months.
11Monkeyz
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
463 picks · 624 bans
Tiny
453 picks · 505 bans
Bane
434 picks · 274 bans
Sand King
412 picks · 534 bans
Death Prophet
355 picks · 806 bans
Storm Spirit
343 picks · 566 bans
Pangolier
342 picks · 517 bans
Ember Spirit
339 picks · 562 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% ALIS VENTORUS
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% ALIS VENTORUS
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed21:30
ALIS VENTORUS 52%11Monkeyz 48%
The model gave 52% on ALIS VENTORUS — the game was taken by 11Monkeyz in 30:09.
Game 2prediction missed16:21
ALIS VENTORUS 52%11Monkeyz 48%
The model gave 52% on ALIS VENTORUS — the game was taken by 11Monkeyz in 38:26.
Model check result
Model favoriteALIS VENTORUS · 52%
Series result11Monkeyz 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2