ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Allianceloss 1:1series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Quincy Crewloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Alliance
No games played over 6 months.
Quincy Crew
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
430 picks · 983 bans
Void Spirit
406 picks · 598 bans
Mars
354 picks · 638 bans
Earth Spirit
318 picks · 272 bans
Death Prophet
316 picks · 621 bans
Rubick
261 picks · 175 bans
Wraith King
256 picks · 423 bans
Phoenix
254 picks · 360 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 59%
Hero pool strength50% Alliance
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Quincy Crew
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:8
Alliance 49%Quincy Crew 51%
The model gave 51% on Quincy Crew — the game was taken by Alliance in 35:56.
Game 2prediction correct13:27
Alliance 49%Quincy Crew 51%
The model gave 51% on Quincy Crew — the game was taken by Quincy Crew in 33:05.
Model check result
Model favoriteQuincy Crew · 51%
Accuracy by game1 of 2