ESL One Birmingham 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionAalohasquadwin 1:0
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:0
RRakChamploss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
alohasquad
No games played over 6 months.
RakChamp
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
547 picks · 743 bans
Tusk
488 picks · 351 bans
Dragon Knight
465 picks · 640 bans
Centaur Warrunner
439 picks · 541 bans
Shadow Demon
373 picks · 641 bans
Gyrocopter
362 picks · 550 bans
Hoodwink
349 picks · 158 bans
Mars
348 picks · 467 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% alohasquad
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% RakChamp
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:38
alohasquad 46%RakChamp 54%
The model gave 54% on RakChamp — the game was taken by alohasquad in 36:52.
Model check result
Model favoriteRakChamp · 54%
Series resultalohasquad 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1