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The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Amaru Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
5%95%
probability at match start · final 0:2
LGD Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Amaru Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Michael · 11 games
55%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
Oscar · 8 games
63%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
Gardick · 8 games
50%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
Oscar · 7 games
29%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Gardick · 6 games
50%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Oscar · 5 games
60%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Oscar · 5 games
40%
Kez
Kezoften banned
Wits · 5 games
80%

LGD Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Thiolicor · 12 games
67%
Bane
Banesignature
KJ · 11 games
64%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Wisper · 9 games
56%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
KJ · 8 games
75%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangersignature
Yuma · 8 games
88%
Kez
Kezsignature
Yuma · 8 games
75%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Wisper · 7 games
86%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
KJ · 7 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
634 picks · 436 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
571 picks · 316 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
482 picks · 579 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
450 picks · 388 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
442 picks · 655 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
354 picks · 526 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
346 picks · 1031 bans
58%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
341 picks · 407 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 71%
Hero pool strength60% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total95% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:39
Amaru Gaming 15%LGD Gaming 85%
The model gave 85% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 37:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritK1
55% · 22 games63% · 24 games
BroodmotherYuma
Broodmother
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritPiPi
47% · 18 games51% · 134 games
DoomWisper
Doom
Lycan
LycanOscar
48% · 110 games55% · 174 games
PuckTaiLung
Puck
Rubick
RubickGenek
43% · 202 games56% · 46 games
GrimstrokeThiolicor
Grimstroke
Enchantress
EnchantressPanda
37% · 145 games59% · 119 games
BaneKJ
Bane
Game 2prediction correct21:36
Amaru Gaming 17%LGD Gaming 83%
The model gave 83% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 37:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerK1
53% · 44 games55% · 92 games
Templar AssassinYuma
Templar Assassin
Brewmaster
BrewmasterOscar
51% · 78 games49% · 48 games
Dark SeerWisper
Dark Seer
Pangolier
PangolierPiPi
47% · 318 games50% · 187 games
SnapfireTaiLung
Snapfire
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeGenek
46% · 58 games52% · 134 games
ClockwerkThiolicor
Clockwerk
Silencer
SilencerPanda
46% · 132 games50% · 169 games
BaneKJ
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 95%
Series resultLGD Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2