PGL Wallachia Season 7. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Amaru Gamingwin 2:0series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 2:0
SShindennloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Amaru Gaming
Jakirooften banned
Gardick · 8 games
Kezsignature
Wits · 8 games
Axesignature
Oscar · 6 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Oscar · 6 games
Puckoften banned
TaiLung · 6 games
Tidehuntersignature
Oscar · 6 games
Chenoften banned
Gardick · 5 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
TaiLung · 5 games
Shindenn
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
537 picks · 872 bans
Tusk
515 picks · 384 bans
Dragon Knight
477 picks · 636 bans
Centaur Warrunner
459 picks · 595 bans
Shadow Demon
398 picks · 826 bans
Ember Spirit
358 picks · 579 bans
Gyrocopter
346 picks · 570 bans
Mars
346 picks · 483 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 60%
Hero pool strength53% Amaru Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total81% Amaru Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Amaru Gaming 81%Shindenn 19%
The model gave 81% on Amaru Gaming — the game was taken by Amaru Gaming.
Game 2prediction correct
Amaru Gaming 81%Shindenn 19%
The model gave 81% on Amaru Gaming — the game was taken by Amaru Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteAmaru Gaming · 81%
Series resultAmaru Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2