EPL Masters I · BO3
result vs prediction
Amaru Gamingloss 0:1series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 0:1
TSTeam Syntaxwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Amaru Gaming
Storm Spiritoften banned
PiPi · 7 games
Rubick
Genek · 6 games
Underlordoften banned
Oscar · 6 games
Hoodwink
Michael · 4 games
Windranger
Genek · 4 games
Enchantressoften banned
Panda · 3 games
Lone Druidoften banned
K1 · 3 games
Techies
Panda · 3 games
Team Syntax
Tusksignature
Stoic · 8 games
Axeoften banned
emptiness · 5 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Jeezy · 4 games
Dark Seeroften banned
emptiness · 4 games
Largooften banned
Jeezy · 4 games
Bane
Stoic · 3 games
Phoenix
Jeezy · 3 games
Snapfireoften banned
emptiness · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
489 picks · 355 bans
Rubick
376 picks · 224 bans
Clockwerk
348 picks · 640 bans
Tiny
336 picks · 339 bans
Windranger
316 picks · 228 bans
Bane
304 picks · 294 bans
Pangolier
289 picks · 394 bans
Storm Spirit
289 picks · 322 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 67%
Hero pool strength57% Team Syntax
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Team Syntax
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Amaru Gaming 44%Team Syntax 56%
The model gave 56% on Team Syntax — the game was taken by Team Syntax.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Syntax · 56%
Series resultTeam Syntax 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1