Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 14 · BO3
result vs prediction
Anime Enjoyerswin 2:0series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 2:0
PSG Questloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Anime Enjoyers
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Coblackk · 1 game
Earthshaker
sunset · 1 game
Monkey Kingoften banned
Coblackk · 1 game
Nyx Assassinoften banned
sunset · 1 game
PSG Quest
Snapfiresignature
OmaR · 17 games
Tiny
OmaR · 16 games
Pucksignature
No!ob · 14 games
Iosignature
Eixn · 13 games
Earth Spirit
OmaR · 12 games
Pangolieroften banned
No!ob · 12 games
Shadow Shaman
OmaR · 12 games
Hoodwink
OmaR · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
710 picks · 523 bans
Puck
511 picks · 994 bans
Dawnbreaker
434 picks · 548 bans
Marci
405 picks · 737 bans
Snapfire
367 picks · 194 bans
Winter Wyvern
343 picks · 351 bans
Zeus
306 picks · 343 bans
Razor
298 picks · 607 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 48%
Hero pool strength61% PSG Quest
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% PSG Quest
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:22
Anime Enjoyers 42%PSG Quest 58%
The model gave 58% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by Anime Enjoyers in 29:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MorphlingCoblackk
RazorNo!ob
Marcisunset
TuskOmaR
54% · 22 games
AbaddonEixn
Game 2prediction missed56:26
Anime Enjoyers 44%PSG Quest 56%
The model gave 56% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by Anime Enjoyers in 41:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
UrsaCoblackk
ZeusNo!ob
Earth Spiritsunset
TinyOmaR
57% · 3 games
Crystal MaidenEixn
Model check result
Model favoritePSG Quest · 65%
Series resultAnime Enjoyers 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2