Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 3. Восточная Европа. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Anime Enjoyerswin 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
SIBE Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Anime Enjoyers
No games played over 6 months.
SIBE Team
Alchemistoften banned
nesfeer · 1 game
Clockwerk
Arti_Shock · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
klassnokruto · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
erase · 1 game
Techies
y0nd · 1 game
Undyingoften banned
Arti_Shock · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
765 picks · 606 bans
Disruptor
548 picks · 459 bans
Tiny
423 picks · 379 bans
Beastmaster
422 picks · 987 bans
Ember Spirit
396 picks · 926 bans
Undying
394 picks · 596 bans
Nature's Prophet
393 picks · 670 bans
Doom
389 picks · 571 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 56%
Hero pool strength51% Anime Enjoyers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Anime Enjoyers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:39
Anime Enjoyers 59%SIBE Team 41%
The model gave 59% on Anime Enjoyers — the game was taken by Anime Enjoyers in 30:42.
Game 2prediction correct38:45
Anime Enjoyers 59%SIBE Team 41%
The model gave 59% on Anime Enjoyers — the game was taken by Anime Enjoyers in 45:10.
Model check result
Model favoriteAnime Enjoyers · 59%
Series resultAnime Enjoyers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2