BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Apex Genesiswin 1:0series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 1:0
RERandoms Esportsloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Apex Genesis
Phoenixoften banned
YamSun · 11 games
Pangolieroften banned
W1sh- · 9 games
Rubick
Bignum · 9 games
Crystal Maidensignature
YamSun · 8 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Speeed · 8 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
Sammyboy · 7 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
W1sh- · 7 games
Tinyoften banned
W1sh- · 7 games
Randoms Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
364 picks · 350 bans
Hoodwink
359 picks · 403 bans
Jakiro
341 picks · 257 bans
Pangolier
323 picks · 514 bans
Sven
295 picks · 306 bans
Snapfire
279 picks · 252 bans
Phoenix
277 picks · 475 bans
Windranger
275 picks · 349 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Apex Genesis
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total83% Apex Genesis
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Apex Genesis 83%Randoms Esports 17%
The model gave 83% on Apex Genesis — the game was taken by Apex Genesis.
Model check result
Model favoriteApex Genesis · 83%
Series resultApex Genesis 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1