The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
ApexPHloss 0:2series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
4 Anchors + Dota Samawin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
ApexPH
No games played over 6 months.
4 Anchors + Dota Sama
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
477 picks · 453 bans
Tiny
463 picks · 538 bans
Ringmaster
439 picks · 218 bans
Terrorblade
343 picks · 636 bans
Storm Spirit
303 picks · 445 bans
Ancient Apparition
293 picks · 647 bans
Tusk
286 picks · 217 bans
Windranger
279 picks · 83 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% ApexPH
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% 4 Anchors + Dota Sama
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct3:23
ApexPH 43%4 Anchors + Dota Sama 57%
The model gave 57% on 4 Anchors + Dota Sama — the game was taken by 4 Anchors + Dota Sama in 15:17.
Game 2prediction correct14:35
ApexPH 43%4 Anchors + Dota Sama 57%
The model gave 57% on 4 Anchors + Dota Sama — the game was taken by 4 Anchors + Dota Sama in 21:55.
Model check result
Model favorite4 Anchors + Dota Sama · 57%
Series result4 Anchors + Dota Sama 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2