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CCT Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Apple City Gangwin 2:0
series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Quantum Teamloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Apple City Gang

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Norma · 8 games
75%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
yowaai · 7 games
86%
Marci
Marcioften banned
flacko · 6 games
50%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Norma · 5 games
40%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Astral · 4 games
75%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
dualrazee · 4 games
50%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
dualrazee · 4 games
75%
Jakiro
Jakiro
flacko · 4 games
75%

Quantum Team

Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Fezor · 12 games
58%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Rvze · 11 games
45%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
bashka · 11 games
27%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Rvze · 11 games
36%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Rvze · 11 games
36%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
bashka · 10 games
40%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
takizawa · 10 games
50%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
kolya_kaBAN68 · 9 games
11%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
561 picks · 795 bans
49%
Muerta
Muerta
448 picks · 327 bans
53%
Phoenix
Phoenix
440 picks · 696 bans
52%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
418 picks · 755 bans
54%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
409 picks · 395 bans
52%
Bristleback
Bristleback
401 picks · 890 bans
56%
Magnus
Magnus
395 picks · 1075 bans
57%
Pangolier
Pangolier
386 picks · 534 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 38%
Hero pool strength63% Apple City Gang
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total76% Apple City Gang
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:10
Apple City Gang 63%Quantum Team 37%
The model gave 63% on Apple City Gang — the game was taken by Apple City Gang in 26:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteryowaai
51% · 329 games57% · 70 games
Nature's ProphetLukas
Nature's Prophet
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassindualrazee
47% · 149 games43% · 18 games
MeepoRvze
Meepo
Night Stalker
Night Stalkermangekyou
40% · 115 games58% · 95 games
EnigmaAnkou
Enigma
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionflacko
45% · 37 games52% · 314 games
Tinykolya_kaBAN68
Tiny
Marci
MarciQBFY
45% · 172 games54% · 305 games
PhoenixFezor
Phoenix
Game 2prediction correct31:10
Apple City Gang 65%Quantum Team 35%
The model gave 65% on Apple City Gang — the game was taken by Apple City Gang in 31:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinyowaai
57% · 154 games48% · 128 games
TerrorbladeLukas
Terrorblade
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritdualrazee
56% · 246 games47% · 98 games
TidehunterAnkou
Tidehunter
Visage
Visagemangekyou
52% · 57 games43% · 319 games
PangolierRvze
Pangolier
Ringmaster
Ringmasterflacko
51% · 44 games45% · 201 game
Shadow Demonkolya_kaBAN68
Shadow Demon
Tusk
TuskQBFY
52% · 269 games47% · 24 games
UndyingFezor
Undying
Model check result
Model favoriteApple City Gang · 76%
Series resultApple City Gang 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2