?
arrow_backBack to match
Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. ЮВА. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Army Geniuseswin 2:0
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Atlantisloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Army Geniuses

Tiny
Tinysignature
inYourdreaM · 17 games
65%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
inYourdreaM · 12 games
33%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Varizh · 11 games
73%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Yowe · 10 games
70%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
NARMAN · 10 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Varizh · 10 games
60%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
inYourdreaM · 9 games
56%
Mars
Marssignature
db- · 8 games
75%

Atlantis

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
421 picks · 428 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
404 picks · 273 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
403 picks · 385 bans
50%
Mirana
Mirana
305 picks · 313 bans
53%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
269 picks · 318 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
245 picks · 130 bans
48%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
220 picks · 154 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
218 picks · 585 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength56% Army Geniuses
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total64% Army Geniuses
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct43:19
Army Geniuses 64%Atlantis 36%
The model gave 64% on Army Geniuses — the game was taken by Army Geniuses in 32:15.
Game 2prediction correct24:3
Army Geniuses 64%Atlantis 36%
The model gave 64% on Army Geniuses — the game was taken by Army Geniuses in 19:08.
Model check result
Model favoriteArmy Geniuses · 64%
Series resultArmy Geniuses 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2