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BTS Pro Series Season 9. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Army Geniuseswin 2:0
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Omega Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Army Geniuses

Mirana
Mirana
Lym- · 13 games
38%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Lym- · 12 games
33%
Mars
Marsoften banned
woMy · 9 games
0%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
woMy · 9 games
44%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
MamangDaya · 8 games
25%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Lym- · 8 games
25%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
woMy · 8 games
25%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingsignature
db- · 8 games
63%

Omega Esports

Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Mac · 5 games
40%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
Sam_H · 5 games
80%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
cml · 5 games
20%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
Sam_H · 4 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Sam_H · 4 games
25%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Tino- · 4 games
75%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mac · 4 games
50%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Tino- · 4 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
262 picks · 148 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
261 picks · 347 bans
49%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
251 picks · 386 bans
53%
Lina
Lina
247 picks · 512 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
228 picks · 322 bans
49%
Monkey King
Monkey King
227 picks · 495 bans
62%
Tiny
Tiny
222 picks · 292 bans
56%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
214 picks · 253 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)17% vs 14%
Hero pool strength59% Omega Esports
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total55% Army Geniuses
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:16
Army Geniuses 55%Omega Esports 45%
The model gave 55% on Army Geniuses — the game was taken by Army Geniuses in 27:42.
Game 2prediction correct33:32
Army Geniuses 55%Omega Esports 45%
The model gave 55% on Army Geniuses — the game was taken by Army Geniuses in 44:11.
Model check result
Model favoriteArmy Geniuses · 55%
Series resultArmy Geniuses 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2