Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
AS Monaco Gambitloss 0:1series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Chicken Fighterswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
AS Monaco Gambit
Earth Spirit
xsvampire · 5 games
Crystal Maiden
PuberrrR · 3 games
Marsoften banned
Blizzy · 3 games
Phantom Lanceroften banned
xannii · 3 games
Puckoften banned
Lorenof · 3 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 3 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
PuberrrR · 2 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
xannii · 2 games
Chicken Fighters
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
451 picks · 174 bans
Snapfire
338 picks · 188 bans
Mars
336 picks · 536 bans
Puck
315 picks · 794 bans
Ancient Apparition
314 picks · 478 bans
Nyx Assassin
311 picks · 622 bans
Tiny
289 picks · 233 bans
Enchantress
284 picks · 363 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)32% vs 52%
Hero pool strength58% AS Monaco Gambit
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% Chicken Fighters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteChicken Fighters · 68%
Series resultChicken Fighters 0:1
Series predictioncorrect