Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
AS Monaco Gambitloss 0:2series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 0:2
CHILLAXwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
AS Monaco Gambit
No games played over 6 months.
CHILLAX
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
442 picks · 263 bans
Mars
397 picks · 542 bans
Death Prophet
312 picks · 606 bans
Tiny
308 picks · 354 bans
Weaver
307 picks · 397 bans
Ember Spirit
280 picks · 388 bans
Queen of Pain
277 picks · 452 bans
Templar Assassin
264 picks · 543 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 64%
Hero pool strength50% AS Monaco Gambit
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% CHILLAX
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:17
AS Monaco Gambit 40%CHILLAX 60%
The model gave 60% on CHILLAX — the game was taken by CHILLAX in 30:31.
Game 2prediction correct10:9
AS Monaco Gambit 40%CHILLAX 60%
The model gave 60% on CHILLAX — the game was taken by CHILLAX in 23:08.
Model check result
Model favoriteCHILLAX · 60%
Series resultCHILLAX 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2