ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
AS Monaco Gambitwin 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
T1loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
AS Monaco Gambit
Earth Spirit
xsvampire · 5 games
Marsoften banned
Blizzy · 5 games
Crystal Maiden
PuberrrR · 4 games
Phantom Lanceroften banned
xannii · 4 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Blizzy · 4 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 4 games
Mirana
xsvampire · 3 games
Puckoften banned
Lorenof · 3 games
T1
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
402 picks · 947 bans
Void Spirit
376 picks · 574 bans
Mars
333 picks · 611 bans
Earth Spirit
297 picks · 264 bans
Death Prophet
295 picks · 585 bans
Rubick
255 picks · 172 bans
Wraith King
241 picks · 407 bans
Phoenix
240 picks · 328 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 58%
Hero pool strength51% AS Monaco Gambit
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% AS Monaco Gambit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:12
AS Monaco Gambit 50%T1 50%
The model gave 50% on AS Monaco Gambit — the game was taken by T1 in 26:05.
Game 2prediction missed4:19
AS Monaco Gambit 50%T1 50%
The model gave 50% on AS Monaco Gambit — the game was taken by T1 in 28:06.
Model check result
Model favoriteAS Monaco Gambit · 50%
Series resultAS Monaco Gambit 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2