BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
ASAKURAloss 0:1series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Hydrawin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
ASAKURA
No games played over 6 months.
Hydra
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Dominic · 2 games
Rubick
jAMES · 2 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Ethereal · 2 games
Sniperoften banned
jAMES · 2 games
Tidehunter
Actor · 2 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Dominic · 1 game
Earthshaker
Ethereal · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
Ethereal · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
365 picks · 351 bans
Hoodwink
359 picks · 403 bans
Jakiro
341 picks · 257 bans
Pangolier
323 picks · 517 bans
Sven
295 picks · 306 bans
Snapfire
279 picks · 252 bans
Phoenix
278 picks · 478 bans
Windranger
277 picks · 350 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 42%
Hero pool strength52% ASAKURA
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total57% Hydra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
ASAKURA 43%Hydra 57%
The model gave 57% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra.
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra · 57%
Series resultHydra 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1