BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
ASAKURAloss 0:1series probability
20%80%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Night Pulsewin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
ASAKURA
No games played over 6 months.
Night Pulse
Hoodwinkoften banned
JANTER · 23 games
Jakiro
Hduo · 20 games
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 18 games
Ursasignature
V-Tune · 18 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Worick · 17 games
Morphlingoften banned
Kami · 17 games
Doomoften banned
Kami · 16 games
Phoenixoften banned
Hduo · 16 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
374 picks · 357 bans
Hoodwink
363 picks · 406 bans
Jakiro
341 picks · 256 bans
Pangolier
332 picks · 525 bans
Sven
296 picks · 306 bans
Phoenix
290 picks · 500 bans
Ember Spirit
282 picks · 596 bans
Windranger
280 picks · 343 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 59%
Hero pool strength53% Night Pulse
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total80% Night Pulse
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
ASAKURA 20%Night Pulse 80%
The model gave 80% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse.
Model check result
Model favoriteNight Pulse · 80%
Series resultNight Pulse 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1