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DreamLeague Season 26. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
ASAKURAwin 1:0
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 1:0
РАБОТЯГИloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

ASAKURA

Lion
Lion
slimeyao · 11 games
55%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
slimeyao · 11 games
91%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
VaniLLl · 10 games
70%
Lich
Lich
VaniLLl · 10 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
young G · 10 games
60%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Infernal · 10 games
40%
Magnus
Magnussignature
Infernal · 9 games
67%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
7jesu · 8 games
63%

РАБОТЯГИ

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 7 games
29%
Slardar
Slardar
spirit · 6 games
50%
Lion
Lion
lupsione · 5 games
40%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Mirele · 5 games
20%
Tusk
Tusk
lupsione · 5 games
40%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
zvёzd · 4 games
75%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Somnia · 4 games
25%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkeroften banned
spirit · 4 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
507 picks · 696 bans
48%
Phoenix
Phoenix
425 picks · 694 bans
52%
Muerta
Muerta
416 picks · 307 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
409 picks · 398 bans
52%
Bristleback
Bristleback
374 picks · 849 bans
57%
Magnus
Magnus
370 picks · 983 bans
58%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
369 picks · 618 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
360 picks · 495 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 36%
Hero pool strength60% ASAKURA
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total67% ASAKURA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
ASAKURA 67%РАБОТЯГИ 33%
The model gave 67% on ASAKURA — the game was taken by ASAKURA.
Model check result
Model favoriteASAKURA · 67%
Series resultASAKURA 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1