i-League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Aster.Ariesloss 0:2series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Invictus Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Aster.Aries
Puckoften banned
phoenix · 16 games
Marsoften banned
生死 · 13 games
Ursaoften banned
Ulu · 10 games
Abaddonoften banned
Fantasy · 9 games
Grimstroke
Fantasy · 9 games
Morphlingoften banned
Ulu · 9 games
Death Prophetoften banned
生死 · 8 games
Doomoften banned
生死 · 8 games
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
411 picks · 190 bans
Hoodwink
356 picks · 134 bans
Nyx Assassin
297 picks · 598 bans
Puck
283 picks · 622 bans
Dragon Knight
281 picks · 358 bans
Mars
278 picks · 472 bans
Winter Wyvern
269 picks · 236 bans
Lina
251 picks · 357 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 43%
Hero pool strength54% Invictus Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total74% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:33
Aster.Aries 26%Invictus Gaming 74%
The model gave 74% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming in 36:12.
Game 2prediction correct14:25
Aster.Aries 26%Invictus Gaming 74%
The model gave 74% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming in 31:44.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 74%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2