Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Южная Америка. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Attack on Titanwin 2:0series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Shark Boysloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Attack on Titan
Abaddonoften banned
hFn · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
murd0c · 1 game
Lich
Mandy · 1 game
Lifestealeroften banned
hFn · 1 game
Mirana
RdO · 1 game
Nyx Assassinoften banned
RdO · 1 game
Storm Spiritoften banned
murd0c · 1 game
Treant Protectoroften banned
Mandy · 1 game
Shark Boys
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
782 picks · 531 bans
Tiny
558 picks · 401 bans
Tusk
542 picks · 440 bans
Treant Protector
534 picks · 572 bans
Nature's Prophet
425 picks · 681 bans
Snapfire
400 picks · 294 bans
Death Prophet
389 picks · 753 bans
Ember Spirit
369 picks · 813 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength55% Shark Boys
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Shark Boys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:10
Attack on Titan 39%Shark Boys 61%
The model gave 61% on Shark Boys — the game was taken by Attack on Titan in 30:04.
Game 2prediction missed12:34
Attack on Titan 39%Shark Boys 61%
The model gave 61% on Shark Boys — the game was taken by Attack on Titan in 23:37.
Model check result
Model favoriteShark Boys · 61%
Series resultAttack on Titan 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2