DreamLeague Season 23 · BO2
result vs prediction
Aurora Gamingloss 1:1series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Aurora Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Gaimin Gladiators
Crystal Maiden
Seleri · 28 games
Batridersignature
tOfu · 20 games
Alchemistoften banned
dyrachyo · 17 games
Gyrocopter
tOfu · 17 games
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 17 games
Magnusoften banned
Ace · 16 games
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 15 games
Snipersignature
Quinn · 15 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
489 picks · 217 bans
Tiny
435 picks · 638 bans
Batrider
415 picks · 727 bans
Centaur Warrunner
408 picks · 574 bans
Gyrocopter
403 picks · 361 bans
Rubick
394 picks · 164 bans
Pangolier
374 picks · 791 bans
Shadow Demon
340 picks · 949 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)37% vs 41%
Hero pool strength57% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total58% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:32
Aurora Gaming 42%Gaimin Gladiators 58%
The model gave 58% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 52:34.
Game 2prediction correct48:22
Aurora Gaming 42%Gaimin Gladiators 58%
The model gave 58% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 1:06:23.
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 58%
Accuracy by game2 of 2