BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Aurora Gaming
Timbersawoften banned
Jabz · 12 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 11 games
Snapfire
Q · 10 games
Clockwerksignature
Q · 9 games
Tuskoften banned
Q · 9 games
Windrangeroften banned
23savage · 9 games
Batrider
Q · 8 games
Elder Titan
Oli · 8 games
Gaimin Gladiators
Underlordsignature
Ace · 22 games
Snipersignature
Quinn · 20 games
Broodmothersignature
Ace · 19 games
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 19 games
Chaos Knightsignature
dyrachyo · 18 games
Clinkzsignature
dyrachyo · 18 games
Chensignature
Seleri · 17 games
Hoodwinksignature
tOfu · 15 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Pangolier
339 picks · 457 bans
Clockwerk
335 picks · 290 bans
Snapfire
323 picks · 217 bans
Tusk
319 picks · 446 bans
Enchantress
310 picks · 563 bans
Dragon Knight
282 picks · 461 bans
Windranger
265 picks · 376 bans
Sand King
255 picks · 766 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 47%
Hero pool strength55% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total58% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:12
Aurora Gaming 45%Gaimin Gladiators 55%
The model gave 55% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 36:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Void SpiritTA2000
LunaWatson
PangolierAbed
InvokerQuinn
HoodwinkQ
BeastmasterAce
EnigmaJabz
MiranatOfu
ClockwerkKaori
TuskSeleri
Game 2prediction missed38:12
Aurora Gaming 44%Gaimin Gladiators 56%
The model gave 56% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 33:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
AlchemistTA2000
Shadow FiendWatson
PuckAbed
Monkey KingQuinn
PangolierJabz
VisageAce
EnchantressKaori
TusktOfu
HoodwinkQ
ClockwerkSeleri
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 58%
Accuracy by game1 of 2