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BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Aurora Gamingloss 1:1
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 1:1
HULIGANIloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Aurora Gaming

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 11 games
45%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Jabz · 11 games
64%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Q · 10 games
50%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
23savage · 9 games
44%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Q · 8 games
75%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
Oli · 8 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
23savage · 8 games
50%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Q · 8 games
50%

HULIGANI

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
OneJey · 19 games
47%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Panto · 16 games
75%
Rubick
Rubick
Panto · 16 games
44%
Snapfire
Snapfire
OneJey · 16 games
56%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
re1bl · 15 games
53%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Hellscream · 14 games
57%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Panto · 14 games
50%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mirage · 14 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Pangolier
Pangolier
338 picks · 451 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
322 picks · 237 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
314 picks · 267 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
306 picks · 415 bans
53%
Enchantress
Enchantress
302 picks · 547 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
287 picks · 461 bans
46%
Windranger
Windranger
270 picks · 389 bans
53%
Jakiro
Jakiro
261 picks · 225 bans
43%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 69%
Hero pool strength50% HULIGANI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:13
Aurora Gaming 45%HULIGANI 55%
The model gave 55% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 49:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaTA2000
54% · 220 games47% · 239 games
Morphlingv1olent-
Morphling
Tiny
TinyAbed
49% · 266 games57% · 177 games
Storm SpiritMirage
Storm Spirit
Night Stalker
Night StalkerJabz
54% · 48 games46% · 134 games
BeastmasterAlberkaaa
Beastmaster
Dark Willow
Dark WillowQ
47% · 229 games43% · 122 games
MuertaOneJey
Muerta
Omniknight
OmniknightKaori
49% · 49 games52% · 140 games
PugnaPanto
Pugna
Game 2prediction correct14:39
Aurora Gaming 45%HULIGANI 55%
The model gave 55% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 31:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Puck
PuckAbed
52% · 271 game48% · 287 games
Lunav1olent-
Luna
Bristleback
BristlebackTA2000
53% · 117 games50% · 238 games
TimbersawAlberkaaa
Timbersaw
Primal Beast
Primal BeastJabz
49% · 234 games50% · 123 games
Sand KingMirage
Sand King
Dark Willow
Dark WillowQ
47% · 264 games49% · 203 games
GrimstrokeOneJey
Grimstroke
Phoenix
PhoenixKaori
50% · 268 games52% · 303 games
TuskPanto
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 59%
Accuracy by game1 of 2