?
arrow_backBack to match
BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
Aurora Gamingwin 1:0
series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 1:0
OGloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Aurora Gaming

Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Kaori · 62 games
66%
Warlock
Warlocksignature
Kaori · 56 games
66%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Mira · 54 games
61%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kaori · 49 games
67%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mikoto · 47 games
72%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Nightfall · 41 game
71%
Mars
Marssignature
Ws · 38 games
61%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Nightfall · 37 games
62%

OG

Tiny
Tiny
Yopaj · 16 games
38%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Skem · 15 games
53%
Chen
Chensignature
Skem · 14 games
64%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Skem · 14 games
50%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
Force · 14 games
36%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
Natsumi · 14 games
57%
Axe
Axe
Force · 13 games
54%
Mars
Marssignature
Force · 13 games
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
561 picks · 345 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
476 picks · 567 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
454 picks · 236 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
434 picks · 363 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
378 picks · 523 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
326 picks · 859 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
319 picks · 800 bans
47%
Jakiro
Jakiro
308 picks · 209 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 27%
Hero pool strength58% Aurora Gaming
Head-to-head4 – 0
Model total76% Aurora Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:14
Aurora Gaming 63%OG 37%
The model gave 63% on Aurora Gaming — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 43:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Lancer
Phantom LancerNightfall
56% · 17 games66% · 26 games
Drow RangerNatsumi
Drow Ranger
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritMikoto
44% · 255 games54% · 174 games
DoomTORONTOTOKYO
Doom
Axe
AxeWs
42% · 190 games46% · 362 games
PangolierYopaj
Pangolier
Phoenix
PhoenixKaori
44% · 226 games62% · 123 games
Treant ProtectorSkem
Treant Protector
Clockwerk
ClockwerkMira
46% · 130 games55% · 133 games
LionTims
Lion
Model check result
Model favoriteAurora Gaming · 76%
Series resultAurora Gaming 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1