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BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Aurora Gamingloss 1:1
series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team Falconsloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Aurora Gaming

Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Jabz · 12 games
58%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 11 games
45%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Q · 10 games
50%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
23savage · 9 games
44%
Batrider
Batrider
Q · 8 games
38%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Q · 8 games
75%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
Oli · 8 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
23savage · 8 games
50%

Team Falcons

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 52 games
71%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Skiter · 30 games
73%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
ATF · 30 games
73%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Sneyking · 27 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Malr1ne · 26 games
50%
Doom
Doomsignature
ATF · 23 games
83%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Skiter · 23 games
74%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Skiter · 23 games
78%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Pangolier
Pangolier
339 picks · 465 bans
49%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
333 picks · 287 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
325 picks · 229 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
316 picks · 441 bans
54%
Enchantress
Enchantress
310 picks · 566 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
284 picks · 460 bans
46%
Windranger
Windranger
268 picks · 385 bans
53%
Sand King
Sand King
259 picks · 776 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 67%
Hero pool strength60% Team Falcons
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total66% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:15
Aurora Gaming 39%Team Falcons 61%
The model gave 61% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 37:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaTA2000
46% · 219 games61% · 88 games
BristlebackATF
Bristleback
Void Spirit
Void SpiritAbed
46% · 107 games51% · 168 games
InvokerMalr1ne
Invoker
Phoenix
PhoenixJabz
46% · 199 games50% · 126 games
Monkey KingSkiter
Monkey King
Clockwerk
ClockwerkQ
45% · 239 games49% · 282 games
HoodwinkCr1t-
Hoodwink
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeKaori
51% · 152 games56% · 252 games
Crystal MaidenSneyking
Crystal Maiden
Game 2prediction correct16:34
Aurora Gaming 38%Team Falcons 62%
The model gave 62% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 47:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaTA2000
53% · 316 games50% · 308 games
PangolierATF
Pangolier
Invoker
InvokerAbed
51% · 154 games56% · 132 games
Storm SpiritMalr1ne
Storm Spirit
Underlord
UnderlordJabz
55% · 110 games50% · 122 games
AlchemistSkiter
Alchemist
Tusk
TuskQ
45% · 266 games39% · 202 games
PhoenixSneyking
Phoenix
Disruptor
DisruptorKaori
51% · 126 games49% · 208 games
HoodwinkCr1t-
Hoodwink
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 66%
Accuracy by game1 of 2