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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Aurora Gamingloss 1:1
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team Liquidloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Aurora Gaming

Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Kaori · 65 games
65%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Mira · 57 games
65%
Warlock
Warlocksignature
Kaori · 53 games
68%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Nightfall · 47 games
66%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kaori · 46 games
70%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mikoto · 44 games
73%
Lion
Lionsignature
Mira · 40 games
73%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Mikoto · 37 games
68%

Team Liquid

Tiny
Tinysignature
miCKe · 40 games
65%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Boxi · 32 games
69%
Tusk
Tusk
Boxi · 32 games
59%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
miCKe · 29 games
66%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Nisha · 26 games
58%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Nisha · 25 games
60%
Largo
Largosignature
tOfu · 24 games
63%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Nisha · 23 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
627 picks · 443 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
548 picks · 312 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
415 picks · 394 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
403 picks · 579 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
377 picks · 410 bans
48%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
350 picks · 636 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
347 picks · 505 bans
52%
Windranger
Windranger
340 picks · 236 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 53%
Hero pool strength53% Aurora Gaming
Head-to-head4 – 4
Model total55% Aurora Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:11
Aurora Gaming 52%Team Liquid 48%
The model gave 52% on Aurora Gaming — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 35:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Lancer
Phantom LancerNightfall
46% · 9 games47% · 184 games
Templar AssassinmiCKe
Templar Assassin
Lina
LinaMikoto
43% · 3 games53% · 46 games
Earth SpiritNisha
Earth Spirit
Undying
UndyingWs
60% · 107 games46% · 234 games
AxeAce
Axe
Hoodwink
HoodwinkMira
53% · 330 games43% · 253 games
WindrangerBoxi
Windranger
Jakiro
JakiroKaori
52% · 304 games35% · 36 games
Witch DoctortOfu
Witch Doctor
Game 2prediction missed14:40
Aurora Gaming 53%Team Liquid 47%
The model gave 53% on Aurora Gaming — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 46:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
TimbersawWs
46% · 227 games54% · 508 games
Centaur WarrunnerAce
Centaur Warrunner
Puck
PuckMikoto
50% · 419 games48% · 664 games
TinymiCKe
Tiny
Windranger
WindrangerNightfall
47% · 322 games53% · 553 games
Ember SpiritNisha
Ember Spirit
Hoodwink
HoodwinkMira
47% · 459 games48% · 70 games
MiranatOfu
Mirana
Jakiro
JakiroKaori
47% · 464 games61% · 96 games
Earth SpiritBoxi
Earth Spirit
Model check result
Model favoriteAurora Gaming · 55%
Accuracy by game1 of 2