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The International 2023 · BO3
result vs prediction
Azure Raywin 2:1
series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Azure Ray

Batrider
Batridersignature
天命 · 15 games
73%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
天命 · 12 games
83%
Doom
Doomsignature
fy · 11 games
73%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Somnus · 11 games
73%
Pugna
Pugna
天命 · 11 games
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Somnus · 11 games
55%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirensignature
lou · 10 games
80%
Silencer
Silencer
天命 · 10 games
50%

BETBOOM TEAM

Techies
Techiessignature
Save- · 38 games
71%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Save- · 31 game
58%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Save- · 30 games
80%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 30 games
77%
Doom
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 29 games
62%
Undying
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 27 games
78%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 23 games
65%
Legion Commander
Legion Commandersignature
Pure~ · 22 games
73%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
215 picks · 270 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
180 picks · 382 bans
55%
Sven
Sven
176 picks · 253 bans
57%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
169 picks · 154 bans
54%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
166 picks · 164 bans
59%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
165 picks · 71 bans
52%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
155 picks · 235 bans
48%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
150 picks · 86 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 56%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total75% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:35
Azure Ray 37%BETBOOM TEAM 63%
The model gave 63% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 58:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Necrophos
NecrophosSomnus
52% · 19 games55% · 89 games
Templar AssassingpK~
Templar Assassin
Lifestealer
Lifestealerlou
49% · 69 games57% · 61 game
Chaos KnightNightfall
Chaos Knight
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerChalice
47% · 77 games42% · 59 games
KunkkaPure~
Kunkka
Tusk
Tuskfy
51% · 181 game50% · 116 games
PhoenixTORONTOTOKYO
Phoenix
Pugna
Pugna天命
48% · 127 games49% · 148 games
TechiesSave-
Techies
Game 2prediction correct5:36
Azure Ray 39%BETBOOM TEAM 61%
The model gave 61% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 32:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
Lunalou
56% · 29 games50% · 63 games
Dragon KnightgpK~
Dragon Knight
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerChalice
49% · 88 games48% · 63 games
Chaos KnightPure~
Chaos Knight
Puck
PuckSomnus
57% · 79 games51% · 77 games
Faceless VoidNightfall
Faceless Void
Muerta
Muertafy
50% · 40 games46% · 91 game
Dark WillowSave-
Dark Willow
Tusk
Tusk天命
53% · 193 games42% · 135 games
PhoenixTORONTOTOKYO
Phoenix
Game 3prediction missed20:17
Azure Ray 36%BETBOOM TEAM 64%
The model gave 64% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 42:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
Lunalou
48% · 39 games48% · 131 game
MorphlingNightfall
Morphling
Brewmaster
BrewmasterChalice
60% · 48 games51% · 77 games
InvokergpK~
Invoker
Kunkka
KunkkaSomnus
50% · 61 game52% · 48 games
Legion CommanderPure~
Legion Commander
Phoenix
Phoenixfy
45% · 109 games48% · 134 games
EnchantressTORONTOTOKYO
Enchantress
Clockwerk
Clockwerk天命
50% · 187 games50% · 54 games
MuertaSave-
Muerta
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 75%
Series resultAzure Ray 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3