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DreamLeague Season 22 · BO2
result vs prediction
Azure Rayloss 1:1
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Azure Ray

Luna
Lunasignature
lou · 23 games
61%
Lion
Lion
fy · 19 games
58%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Faith_bian · 18 games
56%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Faith_bian · 16 games
63%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
天命 · 16 games
81%
Techies
Techiessignature
天命 · 16 games
94%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
fy · 15 games
53%
Magnus
Magnussignature
Faith_bian · 15 games
80%

Gaimin Gladiators

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 27 games
70%
Muerta
Muertasignature
tOfu · 18 games
61%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
dyrachyo · 16 games
50%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
dyrachyo · 13 games
85%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
tOfu · 13 games
69%
Lone Druid
Lone Druidsignature
Ace · 12 games
75%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Seleri · 12 games
58%
Sven
Sven
dyrachyo · 12 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
362 picks · 316 bans
54%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
324 picks · 308 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
322 picks · 485 bans
59%
Pangolier
Pangolier
268 picks · 377 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
251 picks · 142 bans
51%
Magnus
Magnus
251 picks · 459 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
250 picks · 323 bans
56%
Techies
Techies
250 picks · 170 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 42%
Hero pool strength53% Azure Ray
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total60% Azure Ray
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed12:28
Azure Ray 58%Gaimin Gladiators 42%
The model gave 58% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 29:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Anti-Mage
Anti-Magelou
50% · 85 games46% · 185 games
Terrorbladedyrachyo
Terrorblade
Leshrac
LeshracOri
56% · 93 games51% · 179 games
TimbersawQuinn
Timbersaw
Batrider
BatriderFaith_bian
53% · 282 games45% · 230 games
MagnusAce
Magnus
Techies
Techiesfy
56% · 352 games43% · 121 game
HoodwinktOfu
Hoodwink
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden天命
54% · 122 games46% · 219 games
UndyingSeleri
Undying
Game 2prediction correct27:17
Azure Ray 55%Gaimin Gladiators 45%
The model gave 55% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 37:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladelou
54% · 172 games52% · 123 games
Slarkdyrachyo
Slark
Timbersaw
TimbersawFaith_bian
48% · 222 games44% · 144 games
Dragon KnightQuinn
Dragon Knight
Primal Beast
Primal BeastOri
55% · 219 games55% · 51 game
DawnbreakerAce
Dawnbreaker
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanfy
43% · 15 games51% · 70 games
LeshracSeleri
Leshrac
Pugna
Pugna天命
47% · 146 games45% · 386 games
RubicktOfu
Rubick
Model check result
Model favoriteAzure Ray · 60%
Accuracy by game1 of 2