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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Azure Raywin 2:0
series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Geek Famloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Azure Ray

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
天命 · 13 games
62%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
Chalice · 10 games
60%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
天命 · 10 games
90%
Batrider
Batridersignature
天命 · 9 games
67%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Xxs · 9 games
56%
Doom
Doomsignature
fy · 8 games
88%
Luna
Lunasignature
lou · 8 games
75%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Xxs · 7 games
71%

Geek Fam

Rubick
Rubicksignature
NARMAN · 8 games
88%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Jing · 7 games
71%
Sven
Svensignature
Ulnit · 6 games
67%
Warlock
Warlock
Skem · 6 games
50%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Skem · 5 games
60%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
NARMAN · 5 games
40%
Wraith King
Wraith King
Natsumi · 5 games
60%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Force · 4 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
251 picks · 426 bans
52%
Muerta
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
216 picks · 345 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
204 picks · 190 bans
46%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
202 picks · 274 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
202 picks · 97 bans
53%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
188 picks · 358 bans
54%
Kunkka
Kunkka
179 picks · 508 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 73%
Hero pool strength54% Azure Ray
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% Azure Ray
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:14
Azure Ray 65%Geek Fam 35%
The model gave 65% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 33:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
Windrangerlou
48% · 114 games53% · 149 games
Templar AssassinNatsumi
Templar Assassin
Pangolier
PangolierOri
51% · 388 games50% · 299 games
Ember SpiritMac
Ember Spirit
Viper
ViperFaith_bian
47% · 42 games47% · 244 games
EnchantressSkem
Enchantress
Marci
Marcify
39% · 118 games61% · 242 games
MiranaJing
Mirana
Techies
Techies天命
50% · 272 games
Game 2prediction correct20:8
Azure Ray 66%Geek Fam 34%
The model gave 66% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 30:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
LinaOri
51% · 58 games51% · 181 game
PangolierMac
Pangolier
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidlou
47% · 133 games48% · 38 games
LifestealerNatsumi
Lifestealer
Mars
MarsFaith_bian
47% · 80 games55% · 62 games
WeaverJing
Weaver
Chen
Chen天命
51% · 58 games53% · 123 games
Keeper of the LightSkem
Keeper of the Light
Lion
Lionfy
44% · 75 games
Model check result
Model favoriteAzure Ray · 77%
Series resultAzure Ray 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2