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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Azure Raywin 2:0
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
OGloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Azure Ray

Luna
Lunasignature
lou · 17 games
65%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
天命 · 16 games
81%
Batrider
Batridersignature
天命 · 14 games
79%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Xxs · 14 games
57%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
天命 · 13 games
62%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Chalice · 12 games
58%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Xxs · 11 games
82%
Lion
Lionsignature
fy · 11 games
73%

OG

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Ari · 10 games
80%
Magnus
Magnussignature
Ari · 10 games
60%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
Yuragi · 9 games
67%
Io
Iosignature
Ceb · 9 games
78%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
MinD_ContRoL · 7 games
71%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
bzm · 7 games
86%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
bzm · 7 games
43%
Puck
Puckoften banned
bzm · 7 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
358 picks · 554 bans
56%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
313 picks · 236 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
311 picks · 453 bans
50%
Lion
Lion
310 picks · 273 bans
53%
Magnus
Magnus
275 picks · 432 bans
57%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
272 picks · 771 bans
54%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
270 picks · 458 bans
52%
Faceless Void
Faceless Void
268 picks · 652 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)73% vs 72%
Hero pool strength52% Azure Ray
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Azure Ray
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:22
Azure Ray 53%OG 47%
The model gave 53% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 42:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
Lunalou
55% · 94 games61% · 113 games
AlchemistYuragi
Alchemist
Zeus
ZeusOri
40% · 37 games50% · 81 game
Void Spiritbzm
Void Spirit
Primal Beast
Primal BeastFaith_bian
44% · 160 games53% · 190 games
Centaur WarrunnerWisper
Centaur Warrunner
Enchantress
Enchantress天命
51% · 220 games52% · 162 games
Crystal MaidenCeb
Crystal Maiden
Lion
Lionfy
47% · 104 games41% · 69 games
MarciAri
Marci
Game 2prediction correct36:14
Azure Ray 53%OG 47%
The model gave 53% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 33:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenlou
49% · 159 games54% · 102 games
Queen of Painbzm
Queen of Pain
Mars
MarsFaith_bian
52% · 173 games54% · 158 games
Faceless VoidYuragi
Faceless Void
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld DestroyerOri
55% · 14 games50% · 154 games
Dark SeerWisper
Dark Seer
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkfy
48% · 113 games52% · 244 games
BatriderAri
Batrider
Rubick
Rubick天命
42% · 388 games50% · 189 games
PhoenixCeb
Phoenix
Model check result
Model favoriteAzure Ray · 58%
Series resultAzure Ray 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2