Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
B8 Esportsloss 0:2series probability
20%80%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Bramewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
B8 Esports
Void Spirit
Dendi · 26 games
Shadow Demonsignature
[T]SA · 25 games
Linasignature
[T]SA · 24 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Watson · 22 games
Lunaoften banned
Watson · 17 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Dendi · 17 games
Bane
Sammyboy · 16 games
Snapfire
Alexxo · 14 games
Brame
Nature's Prophetsignature
SkyLark · 20 games
Weaveroften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 18 games
Lunasignature
Nefrit · 15 games
Marssignature
SkyLark · 15 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
Nefrit · 13 games
Kunkkasignature
W1sh- · 13 games
Spirit Breakersignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 13 games
Earth Spiritsignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
502 picks · 354 bans
Mars
450 picks · 652 bans
Weaver
386 picks · 838 bans
Queen of Pain
385 picks · 483 bans
Snapfire
373 picks · 193 bans
Kunkka
299 picks · 507 bans
Spirit Breaker
288 picks · 456 bans
Ember Spirit
263 picks · 355 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)10% vs 56%
Hero pool strength57% Brame
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total80% Brame
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:24
B8 Esports 30%Brame 70%
The model gave 70% on Brame — the game was taken by Brame in 27:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kunkkav1olent-
Wraith KingNefrit
TidehunterpJonn
BeastmasterSkyLark
PuckDendi
Void SpiritBor@nija
LionLagoona
Queen of PainSsaSpartan
39% · 225 games
RubickdEsire
Game 2prediction correct20:38
B8 Esports 30%Brame 70%
The model gave 70% on Brame — the game was taken by Brame in 29:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusav1olent-
LinaBor@nija
Queen of PainDendi
Drow RangerNefrit
WeaverLagoona
Dark SeerSkyLark
Dragon KnightpJonn
Earth SpiritdEsire
54% · 152 games
DisruptorSsaSpartan
Model check result
Model favoriteBrame · 80%
Series resultBrame 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2