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RES Regional Series: EU #2 · BO2
result vs prediction
B8 Esportsloss 0:2
series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 0:2
L1ga Teamwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

B8 Esports

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
CTOMAHEH1 · 23 games
57%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
CTOMAHEH1 · 18 games
44%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Dendi · 18 games
39%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Dendi · 17 games
47%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
StoneBank · 16 games
44%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Mary_y · 14 games
57%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkeroften banned
StoneBank · 14 games
50%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Mary_y · 14 games
64%

L1ga Team

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Bb3px · 21 game
52%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Panto · 17 games
59%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Bb3px · 16 games
50%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
re1bl · 16 games
44%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
OneJey · 15 games
40%
Luna
Luna
RAMZES666 · 15 games
53%
Sven
Svensignature
RAMZES666 · 13 games
69%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
OneJey · 12 games
42%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
480 picks · 211 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
442 picks · 610 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
398 picks · 739 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
385 picks · 155 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
381 picks · 535 bans
51%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
368 picks · 311 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
347 picks · 715 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
332 picks · 544 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)35% vs 53%
Hero pool strength51% B8 Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% L1ga Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct52:49
B8 Esports 24%L1ga Team 76%
The model gave 76% on L1ga Team — the game was taken by L1ga Team in 1:03:29.
Game 2prediction correct34:9
B8 Esports 24%L1ga Team 76%
The model gave 76% on L1ga Team — the game was taken by L1ga Team in 25:22.
Model check result
Model favoriteL1ga Team · 76%
Series resultL1ga Team 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2