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DreamLeague Season 23 - Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
B8 Esportswin 1:0
series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Passion UAloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

B8 Esports

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 18 games
67%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 15 games
47%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
StoneBank · 12 games
42%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Dendi · 12 games
58%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkeroften banned
StoneBank · 12 games
42%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Mary_y · 12 games
67%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingsignature
StoneBank · 12 games
67%
Chen
Chensignature
Mary_y · 11 games
64%

Passion UA

Magnus
Magnusoften banned
niche · 5 games
0%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
QBFY · 3 games
33%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
QBFY · 2 games
0%
Dazzle
Dazzleoften banned
niche · 1 game
0%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
niche · 1 game
0%
Earthshaker
Earthshakeroften banned
niche · 1 game
100%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Norma · 1 game
0%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
niche · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
379 picks · 351 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
361 picks · 579 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
349 picks · 534 bans
55%
Techies
Techies
347 picks · 273 bans
53%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
344 picks · 335 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
328 picks · 673 bans
57%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
319 picks · 191 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
309 picks · 317 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)24% vs 50%
Hero pool strength61% B8 Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% B8 Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:15
B8 Esports 69%Passion UA 31%
The model gave 69% on B8 Esports — the game was taken by B8 Esports in 33:04.
Model check result
Model favoriteB8 Esports · 69%
Series resultB8 Esports 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1