?
arrow_backBack to match
EPIC League Season 3. Открытые отборочные · BO1
result vs prediction
B8 Esportsloss 0:1
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Prosti Esliwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

B8 Esports

Puck
Puckoften banned
Dendi · 11 games
27%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
[T]SA · 10 games
30%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
RdO · 8 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
[T]SA · 7 games
43%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Dendi · 6 games
33%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
RdO · 6 games
17%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
[T]SA · 5 games
40%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Duster · 5 games
40%

Prosti Esli

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
339 picks · 686 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
321 picks · 399 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
269 picks · 472 bans
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
250 picks · 210 bans
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
224 picks · 332 bans
56%
Rubick
Rubick
224 picks · 124 bans
51%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
215 picks · 638 bans
59%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
214 picks · 435 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)32% vs 60%
Hero pool strength55% Prosti Esli
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Prosti Esli
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteProsti Esli · 65%
Series resultProsti Esli 0:1
Series predictioncorrect