?
arrow_backBack to match
Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
B8 Esportsloss 0:2
series probability
15%85%
probability at match start · final 0:2
V-Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

B8 Esports

Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Dendi · 27 games
41%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
[T]SA · 25 games
64%
Lina
Linasignature
[T]SA · 24 games
63%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Watson · 22 games
59%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Dendi · 19 games
21%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Watson · 17 games
47%
Bane
Bane
Sammyboy · 16 games
50%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Watson · 15 games
47%

V-Gaming

Lina
Linasignature
hAze · 35 games
60%
Lion
Lionsignature
ArrOw · 29 games
66%
Weaver
Weaversignature
ArrOw · 28 games
61%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
hAze · 27 games
59%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Malady · 25 games
60%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
hAze · 25 games
52%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkersignature
laise · 24 games
71%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
ArrOw · 24 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
514 picks · 364 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
458 picks · 661 bans
51%
Weaver
Weaver
399 picks · 850 bans
56%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
398 picks · 497 bans
52%
Snapfire
Snapfire
375 picks · 193 bans
45%
Kunkka
Kunkka
310 picks · 518 bans
54%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
300 picks · 477 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
266 picks · 352 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)9% vs 60%
Hero pool strength59% V-Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 5
Model total85% V-Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:36
B8 Esports 28%V-Gaming 72%
The model gave 72% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 43:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladev1olent-
55% · 172 games47% · 214 games
Queen of PainhAze
Queen of Pain
Mars
MarspJonn
50% · 452 games48% · 274 games
Wraith KingTA2000
Wraith King
Puck
PuckDendi
47% · 439 games46% · 157 games
Spirit Breakerlaise
Spirit Breaker
Mirana
MiranaLagoona
55% · 161 game50% · 505 games
LionAntares
Lion
49% · 74 games
SilencerArrOw
Silencer
Game 2prediction correct20:29
B8 Esports 28%V-Gaming 72%
The model gave 72% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 38:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
Medusav1olent-
52% · 200 games49% · 55 games
Drow RangerTA2000
Drow Ranger
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerpJonn
52% · 151 game49% · 274 games
PuckhAze
Puck
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightDendi
46% · 253 games48% · 46 games
Legion Commanderlaise
Legion Commander
Io
IoLagoona
61% · 176 games43% · 168 games
WeaverArrOw
Weaver
49% · 237 games
LionAntares
Lion
Model check result
Model favoriteV-Gaming · 85%
Series resultV-Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2