Khaz Modan Cup Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Baby Build Houseloss 0:2series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 0:2
LBZSwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Baby Build House
No games played over 6 months.
LBZS
Death Prophetoften banned
Shanks · 13 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Shanks · 8 games
Tusk
CatYou · 8 games
Leshracoften banned
Shanks · 6 games
Mirana
CatYou · 6 games
Night Stalkeroften banned
Molasses · 6 games
Razoroften banned
Shanks · 6 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Molasses · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
508 picks · 438 bans
Mars
488 picks · 691 bans
Bane
452 picks · 289 bans
Dragon Knight
440 picks · 531 bans
Storm Spirit
383 picks · 619 bans
Sand King
381 picks · 541 bans
Pangolier
370 picks · 613 bans
Grimstroke
353 picks · 316 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)30% vs 44%
Hero pool strength57% Baby Build House
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% LBZS
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Baby Build House 38%LBZS 62%
The model gave 62% on LBZS — the game was taken by LBZS.
Game 2prediction correct
Baby Build House 38%LBZS 62%
The model gave 62% on LBZS — the game was taken by LBZS.
Model check result
Model favoriteLBZS · 62%
Series resultLBZS 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2