ESL One Raleigh 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionBBadRexonwin 2:0
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BadRexon
No games played over 6 months.
Winners
Elder Titan
Gaga · 1 game
Warlock
Gaga · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
485 picks · 409 bans
Clockwerk
451 picks · 583 bans
Batrider
422 picks · 525 bans
Lion
417 picks · 228 bans
Gyrocopter
414 picks · 703 bans
Phoenix
404 picks · 465 bans
Pangolier
375 picks · 595 bans
Beastmaster
357 picks · 935 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 42%
Hero pool strength55% Winners
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% BadRexon
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct41:10
BadRexon 59%Winners 41%
The model gave 59% on BadRexon — the game was taken by BadRexon in 25:22.
Game 2prediction correct36:24
BadRexon 59%Winners 41%
The model gave 59% on BadRexon — the game was taken by BadRexon in 34:28.
Model check result
Model favoriteBadRexon · 59%
Series resultBadRexon 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2