Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Balrogsseries probability
51%49%
probability at match start
Omega GamingThe prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Balrogs
No games played over 6 months.
Omega Gaming
Earth Spirit
Demon · 4 games
Hoodwink
Demon · 4 games
Medusaoften banned
Mingatte · 3 games
Treant Protector
ShakaLord · 3 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Tano · 3 games
Dark Seeroften banned
Lissex · 2 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Mingatte · 2 games
Marsoften banned
Lissex · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
369 picks · 547 bans
Bane
333 picks · 259 bans
Snapfire
331 picks · 203 bans
Weaver
316 picks · 709 bans
Monkey King
252 picks · 757 bans
Tidehunter
249 picks · 388 bans
Disruptor
237 picks · 154 bans
Ember Spirit
236 picks · 329 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 57%
Hero pool strength51% Omega Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Balrogs
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteBalrogs · 51%