Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Balu Teamwin 1:0series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:0
GRGolden Retrieversloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Balu Team
No games played over 6 months.
Golden Retrievers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
562 picks · 345 bans
Phoenix
477 picks · 567 bans
Rubick
454 picks · 236 bans
Tiny
435 picks · 364 bans
Pangolier
379 picks · 523 bans
Puck
326 picks · 860 bans
Beastmaster
319 picks · 801 bans
Jakiro
308 picks · 209 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Balu Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Golden Retrievers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:9
Balu Team 49%Golden Retrievers 51%
The model gave 51% on Golden Retrievers — the game was taken by Balu Team in 23:27.
Model check result
Model favoriteGolden Retrievers · 51%
Series resultBalu Team 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1