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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Bammysoyloss 1:2
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Mad Kingswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Bammysoy

Tusk
Tusk
Husky · 7 games
57%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
BliNcc · 6 games
50%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Mo13ei · 4 games
25%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
Sammyboy · 4 games
25%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Moo · 3 games
33%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Husky · 3 games
67%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
BliNcc · 3 games
33%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
BliNcc · 3 games
100%

Mad Kings

Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Gardick · 12 games
75%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
payk · 9 games
33%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
Vitaly · 8 games
63%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Yadomi · 8 games
100%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Mr.Jeans · 7 games
57%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Genek · 7 games
71%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Vitaly · 6 games
33%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Gardick · 6 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
250 picks · 423 bans
52%
Muerta
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
216 picks · 339 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
201 picks · 274 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
200 picks · 97 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
200 picks · 190 bans
47%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
187 picks · 358 bans
54%
Kunkka
Kunkka
177 picks · 507 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 58%
Hero pool strength54% Mad Kings
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Mad Kings
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:10
Bammysoy 47%Mad Kings 53%
The model gave 53% on Mad Kings — the game was taken by Bammysoy in 25:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
TimbersawMo13ei
45% · 190 games53% · 110 games
MorphlingParker
Morphling
Abaddon
AbaddonSammyboy
48% · 42 games51% · 133 games
DoomFrank
Doom
Spectre
SpectreMoo
53% · 62 games52% · 91 game
SilencerStingeR
Silencer
Arc Warden
Arc WardenHusky
44% · 10 games49% · 54 games
GrimstrokeMichael
Grimstroke
Lion
LionBliNcc
49% · 84 games
Game 2prediction correct7:24
Bammysoy 47%Mad Kings 53%
The model gave 53% on Mad Kings — the game was taken by Mad Kings in 27:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetMo13ei
40% · 54 games55% · 56 games
MedusaParker
Medusa
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld DestroyerSammyboy
50% · 8 games59% · 68 games
UnderlordFrank
Underlord
Pudge
PudgeMoo
52% · 14 games49% · 37 games
AbaddonStingeR
Abaddon
Snapfire
SnapfireBliNcc
53% · 99 games51% · 66 games
LionMichael
Lion
Tusk
TuskHusky
43% · 52 games
Game 3prediction missed13:36
Bammysoy 50%Mad Kings 50%
The model gave 50% on Bammysoy — the game was taken by Mad Kings in 26:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dazzle
DazzleMo13ei
73% · 7 games42% · 88 games
SvenParker
Sven
Ursa
UrsaSammyboy
49% · 73 games54% · 206 games
BatriderMichael
Batrider
Dark Seer
Dark SeerMoo
59% · 101 game49% · 137 games
UnderlordFrank
Underlord
Doom
DoomBliNcc
51% · 143 games39% · 35 games
AbaddonStingeR
Abaddon
Snapfire
SnapfireHusky
50% · 142 games
Model check result
Model favoriteMad Kings · 54%
Series resultMad Kings 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 3