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DreamLeague Season 29. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
BarrancoBarwin 2:1
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BTC Gamingloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BarrancoBar

Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Accel · 3 games
67%
Doom
Doomoften banned
bsK7- · 2 games
50%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
bsK7- · 2 games
50%
Anti-Mage
Anti-Mageoften banned
bsK7- · 1 game
100%
Bane
Bane
Accel · 1 game
100%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Accel · 1 game
0%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Accel · 1 game
100%
Necrophos
Necrophos
bsK7- · 1 game
100%

BTC Gaming

Disruptor
Disruptor
Prada · 6 games
50%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
Lumière · 5 games
40%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Mjz · 5 games
60%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Mnz · 4 games
75%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Prada · 4 games
25%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Mjz · 4 games
25%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Mjz · 4 games
50%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Prada · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
646 picks · 688 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
524 picks · 453 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
496 picks · 421 bans
51%
Warlock
Warlock
434 picks · 288 bans
48%
Phoenix
Phoenix
430 picks · 427 bans
54%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
405 picks · 1110 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
396 picks · 865 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
388 picks · 176 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 55%
Hero pool strength53% BarrancoBar
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% BTC Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
BarrancoBar 50%BTC Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on BTC Gaming — the game was taken by BarrancoBar.
Game 2prediction correct
BarrancoBar 50%BTC Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on BTC Gaming — the game was taken by BTC Gaming.
Game 3prediction missed
BarrancoBar 50%BTC Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on BTC Gaming — the game was taken by BarrancoBar.
Model check result
Model favoriteBTC Gaming · 50%
Series resultBarrancoBar 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3