?
arrow_backBack to match
The Bali Major 2023 · BO3
result vs prediction
beastcoastloss 1:2
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:2
9Pandaswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

beastcoast

No games played over 6 months.

9Pandas

Techies
Techiesoften banned
Antares · 52 games
52%
Rubick
Rubick
Antares · 38 games
50%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
Antares · 33 games
64%
Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 30 games
73%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Solo · 29 games
72%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
MieRo · 27 games
59%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
kiyotaka · 25 games
72%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Antares · 24 games
54%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
Techies
669 picks · 703 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
623 picks · 434 bans
47%
Doom
Doom
566 picks · 1122 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
481 picks · 996 bans
49%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
472 picks · 1182 bans
56%
Disruptor
Disruptor
444 picks · 399 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
441 picks · 711 bans
48%
Batrider
Batrider
422 picks · 1133 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 46%
Hero pool strength55% 9Pandas
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total54% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:35
beastcoast 46%9Pandas 54%
The model gave 54% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 1:00:11.
Game 2prediction correct36:10
beastcoast 46%9Pandas 54%
The model gave 54% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 35:00.
Game 3prediction correct35:7
beastcoast 46%9Pandas 54%
The model gave 54% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 29:48.
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 54%
Series result9Pandas 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3