ESL One Stockholm Dota Major 2022 · BO2
result vs prediction
beastcoastloss 1:1series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 1:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
BETBOOM TEAM
Bane
Bignum · 12 games
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 12 games
Queen of Painsignature
fn · 11 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
7jesu · 11 games
Death Prophetoften banned
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
Hoodwink
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
Lunasignature
7jesu · 9 games
Kunkkasignature
fn · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
456 picks · 624 bans
Bane
455 picks · 280 bans
Tiny
424 picks · 483 bans
Sand King
393 picks · 518 bans
Death Prophet
363 picks · 781 bans
Ember Spirit
345 picks · 540 bans
Storm Spirit
336 picks · 516 bans
Pangolier
323 picks · 486 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 75%
Hero pool strength55% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:16
beastcoast 44%BETBOOM TEAM 56%
The model gave 56% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 33:19.
Game 2prediction correct13:18
beastcoast 44%BETBOOM TEAM 56%
The model gave 56% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 39:29.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 56%
Accuracy by game2 of 2