DreamLeague Season 20 · BO2
result vs prediction
beastcoastwin 2:0series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
BETBOOM TEAM
Death Prophetsignature
Nightfall · 20 games
Enchantresssignature
Save- · 20 games
Rubick
Save- · 19 games
Tinyoften banned
gpK~ · 19 games
Pugnasignature
Save- · 17 games
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 15 games
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 15 games
Terrorbladesignature
Nightfall · 14 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
754 picks · 630 bans
Disruptor
610 picks · 536 bans
Doom
537 picks · 1065 bans
Beastmaster
534 picks · 1330 bans
Pangolier
463 picks · 958 bans
Ember Spirit
462 picks · 1173 bans
Techies
460 picks · 488 bans
Enchantress
440 picks · 633 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 51%
Hero pool strength57% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:14
beastcoast 39%BETBOOM TEAM 61%
The model gave 61% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 43:18.
Game 2prediction correct32:15
beastcoast 39%BETBOOM TEAM 61%
The model gave 61% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 33:08.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 61%
Series resultbeastcoast 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2