Riyadh Masters 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
beastcoastwin 2:0series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 2:0
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
391 picks · 636 bans
Gyrocopter
323 picks · 372 bans
Dark Willow
322 picks · 351 bans
Clockwerk
318 picks · 433 bans
Weaver
313 picks · 518 bans
Centaur Warrunner
306 picks · 405 bans
Crystal Maiden
299 picks · 112 bans
Pangolier
298 picks · 563 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 49%
Hero pool strength50% beastcoast
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct4:37
beastcoast 23%G2 Invictus Gaming 77%
The model gave 77% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by G2 Invictus Gaming in 33:15.
Game 2prediction correct27:9
beastcoast 23%G2 Invictus Gaming 77%
The model gave 77% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by G2 Invictus Gaming in 38:11.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 77%
Series resultbeastcoast 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2