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The Bali Major 2023 · BO3
result vs prediction
beastcoastloss 1:2
series probability
15%85%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

beastcoast

No games played over 6 months.

Gaimin Gladiators

Rubick
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 56 games
73%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Seleri · 42 games
71%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 38 games
68%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Ace · 33 games
70%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
tOfu · 33 games
76%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 33 games
67%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Quinn · 31 game
68%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 30 games
70%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
Techies
668 picks · 696 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
632 picks · 447 bans
47%
Doom
Doom
569 picks · 1117 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
484 picks · 1013 bans
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
478 picks · 1196 bans
56%
Disruptor
Disruptor
455 picks · 422 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
447 picks · 713 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
423 picks · 892 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)32% vs 61%
Hero pool strength61% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total85% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:8
beastcoast 15%Gaimin Gladiators 85%
The model gave 85% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 33:40.
Game 2prediction correct24:16
beastcoast 15%Gaimin Gladiators 85%
The model gave 85% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 33:38.
Game 3prediction correct22:10
beastcoast 15%Gaimin Gladiators 85%
The model gave 85% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 35:47.
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 85%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3