Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Южная Америка 1-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
beastcoastloss 1:2series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Infamouswin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Infamous
Tusksignature
Pamplona · 12 games
Leshracsignature
ILICH- · 10 games
Marsoften banned
ILICH- · 9 games
Dark Willow
Yor · 8 games
Grimstrokesignature
Yor · 6 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
Pamplona · 5 games
Invokeroften banned
PiPi · 5 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
Arms · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
408 picks · 948 bans
Void Spirit
374 picks · 531 bans
Death Prophet
346 picks · 699 bans
Mars
330 picks · 549 bans
Grimstroke
317 picks · 319 bans
Tusk
298 picks · 219 bans
Lion
284 picks · 160 bans
Earth Spirit
270 picks · 280 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)73% vs 44%
Hero pool strength55% Infamous
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total77% beastcoast
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoritebeastcoast · 77%
Series resultInfamous 1:2
Series predictionmissed