Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
beastcoastwin 2:1series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:1
King Of Kingsloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
King Of Kings
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
498 picks · 354 bans
Mars
446 picks · 652 bans
Queen of Pain
383 picks · 481 bans
Weaver
383 picks · 836 bans
Snapfire
371 picks · 193 bans
Kunkka
299 picks · 504 bans
Spirit Breaker
288 picks · 453 bans
Ember Spirit
263 picks · 353 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 55%
Hero pool strength50% beastcoast
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total51% King Of Kings
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct47:40
beastcoast 49%King Of Kings 51%
The model gave 51% on King Of Kings — the game was taken by King Of Kings in 49:31.
Game 2prediction correct45:20
beastcoast 49%King Of Kings 51%
The model gave 51% on King Of Kings — the game was taken by King Of Kings in 33:56.
Model check result
Model favoriteKing Of Kings · 51%
Series resultbeastcoast 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2